Gold analysis 28-5-2025Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum after confirming a breakout and closing decisively higher. Buyers remain in control, driving the price upward with minimal retracement. Any intraday pullbacks could present opportunities to join the trend as the market eyes further gains. With key economic data ahead, volatility may increase, potentially fueling an extended rally. Traders should remain aligned with the prevailing trend while managing risk effectively.
Beyond Technical Analysis
My Favorite Reversal Candle Pattern (Works Like Magic!)Hello Traders!
What if I told you that one single candlestick pattern could give you an 80% win rate — when traded with the right context and strategy? That’s right! Today, we’re talking about the powerful Engulfing Candlestick Pattern — backed by data, tested across timeframes, and loved by price action traders.
Let’s break it down properly so you can spot it, trade it, and win with it.
The Candle Setup: Bullish & Bearish Engulfing Patterns
Bullish Engulfing Pattern:
This forms at the end of a downtrend or pullback . A strong green candle completely engulfs the previous red candle’s body, signaling a shift from sellers to buyers.
This setup is most effective at key support zones, trendline bounces, or bullish reversals with volume confirmation .
Bearish Engulfing Pattern:
Seen after an uptrend or rally . A solid red candle engulfs the previous green candle’s body, showing a shift from buyers to sellers.
Best used near resistance levels, psychological zones, or after a parabolic price move .
Check the chart above to understand better!
Note: I’ve used real chart examples from the past to demonstrate Bullish & Bearish Engulfing patterns exactly as they appear in price action textbooks — so you can recognize them with clarity and confidence.
How to Trade the Engulfing Candle Effectively
Entry:
Enter above the bullish engulfing candle’s high (long) or below the bearish engulfing candle’s low (short) after the candle closes.
Stop Loss:
Place SL just below the bullish engulfing candle's low or above the bearish candle’s high.
Target:
Use a 1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratio, or set targets based on nearby support/resistance or Fibonacci levels.
When to Use:
Only trade engulfing patterns when they form at a confluence zone — such as support/resistance, trendlines, moving averages, or breakout retests .
Backtesting Insights
When tested across Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and large-cap stocks on the 15 min, 1H, and Daily charts , the Engulfing pattern — when combined with structure — showed up to 80% success rate with proper risk management and discipline.
Rahul’s Tip
Don’t blindly trade the pattern—trade the location! Context is everything. Always confirm with structure and volume. Engulfing candles are powerful, but only when they appear where it actually matters.
Conclusion
The Engulfing Candle is one of the most reliable patterns if traded with patience and planning. Combine it with key zones and risk control , and it can become a high-probability weapon in your trading arsenal.
Have you used this pattern before? Share your success (or lessons) in the comments — let’s grow together!
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless MindHere you have Charles Thomas Munger, the permanent vice president of one of the most successful companies in the world, Berkshire Hathaway. He was not at the origins of this business, but it was Charles, together with Warren Buffett, who turned a dying enterprise into a star of the world stock market. It didn't take a Master's degree in Business Administration or incredible luck. As Mr. Munger said, to succeed you don't necessarily have to strive to be the smartest, you just have to be not stupid and avoid the standard ways of failure. He worked as a meteorologist, then a lawyer, and finally as someone we know well - an investor who inspired many to take a smart approach to business and their own lives.
“I don’t think you should become president or a billionaire because the odds are too great against you. It is much better to set achievable goals. I didn't set out to become rich, I set out to be independent. I just went a little overboard”, Charles joked. Wake up every morning, work hard, be disciplined and surprisingly, everything will work out very well. This commandment sounds a little archaic in times of rapid rise and easy money. However, for anyone who thinks years and decades ahead, it is difficult to come up with something better.
Speaking to students at his hometown University of Michigan, Mr. Munger said the most important decision you make in life is not your business career, but your marriage. It will do more good or bad for you than anything else. He attached such great importance to human relationships. This correlates strongly with a study of human happiness that has been ongoing for over 85 years under the auspices of Harvard University. The scientists' main conclusion was that everything we build (portfolios, businesses, strategies) is worthless if there is no person in our lives to whom we can say a simple “I'm here”. Or “Thank you”. Or “I love you”.
The healthiest and happiest in old age were not those subjects who earned the most. And those who have maintained good, trusting relationships. Marital. Friendly. Related. And in this light, Charles Munger's words about caution, moderation and common-sense sound quite different. It's not about money. It's about a life that can be lived with the feeling that you have enough. That you don't have to be a hero. That you can just be a reasonable person. Loving. Healthy. Calm.
Perhaps this is the main secret of Mr. Munger's success in the stock market? In the long run, the one who has already won achieves a positive result.
November 28th, 2023, was the last day of the cheerful Charlie's life. There were 34 days left until his 100th birthday.
NO one told me THIS!I lost count of the nights I spent staring at my screen, watching my hard-earned money disappear, questioning everything.
For years, many so-called "financial influencers" have painted trading as a quick-money scheme, showing off luxurious lifestyles while promoting oversimplified buy/sell strategies. The reality? Trading is a business, and just like any business, it requires strategy, planning, risk management, and execution.
The Business Side of Trading
Most retail traders fail because they treat trading like a lottery—randomly entering positions based on hype, gut feelings, or misleading social media tips. But professional traders approach it systematically, just like a business owner would. Let’s break it down:
1. Capital as Working Capital
In a business, you don’t put all your money into a single product or service. Similarly, in trading, your capital must be allocated wisely. Risking too much on one trade is like putting all your business funds into an untested idea—it’s a recipe for disaster.
2. Risk Management = Business Loss Management
Every business has overhead costs, unexpected losses, and market downturns. A good entrepreneur plans for these risks. A trader must do the same by using stop losses, position sizing, and a structured approach to losses. The goal isn’t to avoid losses entirely, but to ensure they don’t wipe out your account.
3. Trading Plan = Business Plan
No serious entrepreneur starts a business without a structured plan. In trading, your strategy should outline:
- Your edge (why your trades work over the long run)
- Entry and exit rules
- Risk-to-reward ratios
- Market conditions where your strategy performs best
- When to sit out and preserve capital
4. Consistency Over Time
Businesses don’t aim for one lucky transaction; they aim for consistent revenue over time. Similarly, profitable traders don’t rely on a single trade making them rich—they compound small, consistent wins into long-term profitability.
5. Tracking and Analytics
Successful businesses track their sales, expenses, and customer behavior. A trader should track:
- Win/loss ratio
- Average risk-reward per trade
- Which setups work best
- Mistakes that lead to losses
This data-driven approach helps refine strategies and improve performance over time.
What Fake “Gurus” Won’t Tell Us
The influencers selling “one-click money” strategies never talk about the months (or years) of market study, self-control, and disciplined execution required to succeed. They won’t tell you about the times they were wrong, blew up accounts, or had to adjust strategies. Real traders put in the work, adapt, and think long-term.
Final Thought
If you’re serious about trading, stop looking for quick wins and start thinking like a business owner. Invest in your skillset, manage risk like an entrepreneur, and build a sustainable process. That’s the real way to win.
Do you run your trading like a business or gamble on market moves? Drop your thoughts below!
Silver Price Alert: Is XAG/USD Headed for $34.108? Learn Why!"Join us for an educational session on XAG/USD as we analyze key market trends and technical signals pointing to a potential drop toward $34.108. Understand the factors driving gold prices and gain insights to improve your trading strategy!
#chartanalysis
#xagusd
#trendanalysis
Gold analysis 27-3-2025Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $3,032.77, showing a minor gain of 0.03% on the 1-hour timeframe. The price has broken out of the previous consolidation zone, marked by the orange and purple highlighted areas, and is approaching the resistance at $3,037.06. The key support levels to watch are at $3,023.28 and $2,998.43, with the nearest support at $3,029.60. A move above $3,037.06 could trigger further bullish momentum, while rejection at this level might push the price back into the consolidation range. The breakout structure suggests potential upward continuation if buyers remain in control.
If You Do This Before 9:15, You’ll Win More!Hello Traders!
The market opens at 9:15 AM, but real winners don’t wait until then. They prepare before the bell rings . Your success in trading depends not just on what you do during market hours, but what you do before the chaos begins . Let’s talk about the essential pre-market rituals that can help you trade with clarity, confidence, and consistency.
What You Should Do Before 9:15 AM
Check Global Market Sentiment:
US markets, SGX Nifty, crude oil, and other global cues can set the tone for the day.
Mark Key Levels:
Identify major support, resistance, trendlines, and zones from daily/hourly timeframes.
Create a Watchlist:
Focus on 3–5 high-potential stocks or indices. Don’t chase everything.
Have a Trade Plan Ready:
Note your entry levels, stop loss, and target. Pre-decide risk-reward before the bell.
Review News & Events:
Check for stock-specific news, results, RBI speeches, or macro events that may cause volatility.
Mentally Prepare:
Take 2 minutes to breathe, calm your mind, and remind yourself to follow your process.
Rahul’s Tip
Discipline starts before the market opens. If you prep well, you won’t panic. If you plan your trades, you won’t chase them.
Conclusion
The 15 minutes before the bell can shape your entire trading day. Winners prepare, amateurs react. Build your pre-market routine, and you’ll see the results in your P&L.
What’s your go-to pre-market routine? Share in the comments and let’s help each other improve!
When to Book Profits? Smart Exit Signs Every Trader Must Know!Hello Traders!
We all love the feeling of seeing profits on our screen, but the real challenge is knowing when to book them . Exiting too early means missing the big move. Exiting too late? You give back most of your gains. So today, let’s break down how to identify the perfect moment to book profits —whether you're trading intraday, swing, or positional.
Top Signs You Should Book Profits
Price Hits Key Resistance or Target Zone:
When your price hits a pre-defined target, Fibonacci level, or a strong resistance, it's a clear signal to book partial or full profits.
Momentum is Fading:
Look for weakening RSI, MACD crossovers, or decreasing volume. These are signs that buying strength is drying up.
Reversal Candlesticks Near Resistance:
Patterns like Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star, or Evening Star near key levels indicate a possible reversal.
News/Event Risk Ahead:
If there's a major earnings release, policy decision, or macroeconomic event ahead, it’s safer to secure some profits.
Risk-Reward Becomes Unfavorable:
If the remaining upside is less than the downside risk, reduce your position and protect gains.
Trailing Stop Loss Triggered:
Using trailing stops helps you ride the trend while locking in profits. If it hits, exit without regret.
Rahul’s Tip
You don’t need to catch the exact top. Profit booked is better than profit on paper. Focus on consistency and discipline. Let the markets reward your process, not just your predictions.
Conclusion
Booking profits is an art backed by rules. Follow your strategy, monitor price action, and trust your system. That’s how you grow and protect your trading capital in the long run.
How do you decide when to exit your trades? Share your strategy in the comments below!
NIFTY Futures - Short !! 26-3=2025Price Action: After a strong rally, NIFTY is consolidating within a supply zone.
Key Zone: 23,700–23,720 acting as resistance.
Bearish Trigger: A breakdown below 23,680 can push prices lower.
Targets: 23,620 → 23,580
Stop-loss: Above 23,725 to manage risk.
⚠️ Watch for volume confirmation before entry.
Bitcoin analysis 26-3-2025 Consolidation phase ?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently consolidating within a key demand zone between $87,100 and $87,350, with multiple wicks indicating strong buying interest at this level. The price action suggests a range-bound movement, with resistance near $87,500 and major support around $84,970. If buyers hold this zone, BTC could see an upward move toward $88,000 or higher, while a breakdown below $87,100 may trigger a decline toward $85,000. The consolidation phase suggests accumulation, and a breakout in either direction will determine the next significant move. we should watch for a decisive close above resistance or below support for confirmation.
XAU/USD Post Analysis – March 26, 2025Gold rejected from the sell zone (highlighted in purple) near $3,023.28, confirming it as a strong resistance. Price attempted to break above but failed, leading to a sharp drop.
🔸 Key Observations:
✅ Price tested the sell zone multiple times before facing rejection.
✅ Strong bearish momentum followed after the rejection.
✅ Current price at $3,015.30, indicating further downside potential.
✅ Possible next support level around $2,998.43.
🔻 Bearish Bias Continues Until:
Bulls reclaim $3,023.28 with strong momentum.
Price action confirms a reversal signal above resistance.
For now, price remains in a bearish structure, and lower levels may come into play unless buyers step in aggressively.
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingAnalysis #PriceAction
Infosys (INFY) Stock Forecast – March 2025Infosys (INFY) Stock Forecast – March 2025
Current Price: ₹1,619.50
Timeframe: Monthly Chart (1M)
Technical Analysis & Forecast
1. Trendline Support: The stock is currently testing a key trendline support on the monthly chart.
2. Breakdown Possibility: If INFY closes below this trendline, it may head towards the ₹1,400 level, aligning with the S2 support zone.
3. Resistance Levels: The recent rejection from ₹1,850-1,900 suggests strong selling pressure at those levels.
4. Market Structure:
Lower highs (LH) formation indicates a possible bearish continuation.
Change of character (ChoCH) signals uncertainty in trend direction.
5. Indicators:
Moving Averages: INFY is testing its long-term moving averages. A break below these could accelerate the downside.
Volume & Momentum: Selling pressure has increased, and bulls need to reclaim key resistance levels for a recovery.
My View
INFY is taking trendline support this month. If this support is broken, we can expect ₹1,400 as the next downside target. However, if buyers defend this level, a rebound towards ₹1,750 is possible.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
Stop Blaming the Market – Fix This First!Hello Traders!
Let’s be honest — we’ve all blamed the market after a losing trade.
But here’s the truth: The market is never wrong, our approach is. Before pointing fingers at volatility, news, or “manipulation,” take a step back and ask yourself: Am I following a system, or just gambling with hope?
Let’s explore what you really need to fix first — and how doing so can turn your trading around!
What to Fix Before Blaming the Market
Lack of a Trading Plan:
No entry/exit rules, no position sizing, no risk management = pure chaos. The market didn’t cause your loss—your lack of structure did.
Emotional Trading:
Taking revenge trades, FOMO entries, or holding losses in hope? That’s not the market—it’s your emotions taking over.
Overtrading Without Edge:
If you're trading every candle that moves without a tested edge, you're not trading — you're guessing.
Ignoring Risk Management:
Are you risking more than 1-2% per trade? Then one bad day can wipe out weeks of profits.
No Journaling or Self-Review:
If you’re not reviewing your past trades, you’ll keep repeating the same mistakes—blaming the market each time.
Rahul’s Tip
The market owes you nothing. It rewards discipline, patience, and consistency—not complaints. Fix your mindset and process, and the results will follow.
Conclusion
Before blaming the market again, look within.
Master yourself, and you’ll master the charts. It’s not about fighting the market—it’s about flowing with it, with a solid plan in hand.
Have you caught yourself blaming the market recently? What did you learn from it? Let’s share and grow in the comments!
GIFT Nifty Projections for week 3 of March and beyondFundamentals/Basis :
Due to most uncertainties of the US related news including Trump Tariff wars, US shutdown vote, Russia Ukraine war ceasefire talks, US possible recession, most of the global economies were in downward trend including US,excepting china which is seeing correction /growth.
How India will deal with US tariffs is a wait and watch , which could come into effect starting April. With Ministers flying to US to negotiate and trying to find middle path, one can expect a reasonable middle ground with US tariffs, by increasing US supplies,reducing tariffs etc from the Indian govt. At this moment, Indian government might not go for a tit-for-tat approach , which will hurt its interests.
Technicals :
Most of the corrections had happened since the election of Trump, the Nifty had been on the decline since its highs of oct last year and is at lower than yearly lows.
Price of Gift Nifty gives an early indication of the Nifty 50 movement.
Price is moving in a channel ,shown in the rectangular box and has a minor breakout.
Trade Idea:
If the Price breaks out of 22600, can test 22720-780- and after a retrace to a max of 450 can bounce again to 22940-23080
If the price could not break or sustain 22600 ,probable to fall with the channel again and test 22280-320.
These higher and lower levels mentioned will be decision points for further trends for the rest of the year.
Disclaimer : Analysis expressed are my own personal analysis and views. Not a SEBI registered analyst. Plan and trade as per your analysis.
Nifty 50 Intraday Analysis 25-3-2025
📍 Buy Zone: 23,700 - 23,750
🚀 Target 1: 23,900
🎯 Target 2: 24,000
🛑 Invalidation: Break below 23,700
Price is holding above the buy zone, indicating bullish momentum. Any dips into this zone can offer a good buying opportunity for an upside move. Keeping an eye on price action for confirmation.
#Nifty #Trading #Intraday
HDFC Bank - Swing Trade NSE:HDFCBANK is looking Super Strong on the Daily time frame after forming a perfect base today it broke out and closed significant levels with MACD and RSI Trending Upwards it Can retest its ATH Levels soon.
About:
NSE:HDFCBANK is an Indian banking and financial services company headquartered in Mumbai. It is India's largest private sector bank by assets and the world's tenth-largest bank by market capitalization as of May 2024.
As of April 2024, NSE:HDFCBANK has a market capitalization of $145 billion, making it the third-largest company on the Indian stock exchanges. It is India's one of 3 systemically important banks with a 15% market share in the banking sector’s advances and a 37% market share in the private sector banks’ advances as of FY24.
F&O Activity:
Short's Getting Covered in Futures with decreasing OI with 1740 CE OI covering Significantly.
Trade Setup:
Buy on Dips if Possible Near Base Levels or Start with a Few Qty to see the momentum if continues further Sharply or Consolidates.
Target(Take Profit):
Ideally around ATH Levels near 1860 to 1880 Levels
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle Low for Swing Traders and Swing Low Base Formed as Mentioned for Positional and Buy on Dips Traders.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin analysis 25-3-2025 Bearish bias !! Bitcoin faced rejection from the 86,500 - 86,700 sell zone, triggering a sharp intraday drop. For day trades, the immediate target is 84,970, with a potential extension to 84,500 if selling pressure continues. Any pullbacks into the sell zone could provide fresh shorting opportunities, while a breakout above 86,700 would invalidate the bearish bias for the day.
Gold analysis 25-3-2025 BREAKOUT OT BREAKDOWN ?Gold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating around $3,015.62, trading within a well-defined range between key resistance at $3,025.59 and support at $3,000.59. A decisive breakout above $3,025.59 could trigger bullish momentum, targeting $3,065, while a breakdown below $3,000.59 may open the door for a deeper correction towards $2,960. With multiple high-impact U.S. economic events scheduled around , heightened volatility is expected, potentially acting as a catalyst for a significant move. We should monitor price action closely, as a confirmed breakout or breakdown from this range will determine the next directional bias.
Losses Hurt? Here's the Cure!Hello Traders!
We’ve all been there— you take a trade, follow your plan, but still end up in loss . It hurts, right? But what if I told you that losses are not the problem—your reaction to them is ? Losses are a part of the game, but learning how to handle them is what separates pros from amateurs . Let’s talk about how to bounce back stronger, protect your capital, and turn pain into power!
Why Losses Hurt (But Shouldn’t Break You)
Emotional Attachment: You don’t lose money—you lose confidence, and that’s what hurts the most.
Over-leverage Issues: If you’re risking too much, even a small loss feels like a disaster.
Lack of System Trust: When you doubt your own setup, every loss feels like failure—not just a learning.
Here’s the Cure to Handle Losses Like a Pro
Position Sizing is Medicine: Follow the 1% rule —never risk more than 1% of your capital on a trade.
Journal Every Trade: Write down why the loss happened —was it the market or your mistake? Reflect and improve.
Stop Chasing Revenge Trades: Walk away. Breathe. Come back with logic, not emotions.
Focus on the Bigger Picture: A single trade doesn’t define you. Think in 100-trade batches , not in isolation.
Celebrate Discipline, Not Results: If you followed your rules—even in a losing trade—you succeeded.
Conclusion
Losses are tuition fees to the market’s school. You can’t avoid them, but you can learn from them. The real cure is discipline, journaling, and emotional control . Master these, and you’ll trade with confidence—even after a red day.
How do you deal with losses? Have they made you stronger? Let’s talk in the comments below!
XAUSSD Trade Idea for Tuesday (25 March) 15M TFAfter looking at chart in multiple TF , i've figured out level's for the day which play great role in the instrument's , it got the closing at 3012.150 in the last session which gave us some good level's to watch for 1st Resistance zone is 3023.500 - 3025.500 and after that next zone is 3033.400 - 3034.250 this zone also works in the last session as strong resistance , after that 3045 is the level to watch for and if we talk about Support Zone's then nearest support zone we got is 3002 - 2999 and after that next zone occurs at 2989 - 2988 and after it the zone is 2984 - 2982 which is not so far from the second support zone , we've to watch price action at these level's and trade accordingly.
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